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Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2025

Paper

Eliciting the marginal propensity to consume in surveys

Session Details

Session: Survey Questions

Location: EBS 2.50

Start Time: 16:50

End Time: 17:10

Programme

Title: PARALLEL SESSION C

Day: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Speakers / Presenters

Professor Thomas Crossley

Abstract

The marginal propensity to consume (MPC) one of the most studied objects in economics. However, survey questions with different structures and wording appear to elicit very different MPC estimates. In this paper, we report on an experiment in which households were randomly assigned different questions designed to elicit their MPCs out of hypothetical payments. We also examine how responses vary according to the size of the payments and the duration over which households are asked to report their spending changes. We find that the wording of the question can have dramatic effects on measured MPCs, their relationship with liquidity and how MPCs differ according to the size of payments. The experiment was fielded in the Understanding Society Innovation Panel.

 

Co-authors

Dr Peter Levell, Institute for Fiscal Studies;

Dr Paul Fisher, University of Essex;

Professor Hamish Low, University of Oxford

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The Economic and Social Research Council is the primary funder of the Study. The Study is led by a team at the Institute for Social and Economic Research (ISER) at the University of Essex.

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jolanda.james@essex.ac.uk

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